Saturday’s La Liga previews: 2012/13 – round 5

20 Sep

Real Zaragoza v Osasuna

Postiga spurned a few half chances, but otherwise Zaragoza offered very little in their 2-0 defeat away to Sociedad last weekend. Osasuna, who, like their opponents Mallorca, played most of the game with ten men, took the lead through a marvellous Kike Sola header but ended up drawing 1-1 with the Islanders.

Quite honestly, today’s matchup comes under the avoid category for my money, but under 2.5 goals seems to be the natural choice as each team has scored only two goals in their four respective games.

Celta Vigo vs Getafe

Despite losing 2-1 away to Valencia, Celta played well and created enough chances to suggest that they’ll survive this season. Getafe, though eventually overrun by Barcelona last weekend, did at least (luckily) score and that was all I wanted for my both teams to score bet.

In picking a winner in today’s game, you’d expect Celta to win given their home advantage, but Getafe have scored in every LiGA BBVA game they’ve played this season, so why not in Vigo?

Recommendation: Both teams to score (10/11)

Real Betis vs Espanyol

In a game bereft of clear cut chances, Betis, through Ruben Castro’s late winner, defeated Valladolid 1-0 in the Jose Zorrilla stadium last Monday night. The goal and result were somewhat fortuitous, but Pepe Mel and his charges have collected three valuable away points that could be very useful come the end of the season.

Espanyol, for the third game in a row, couldn’t hold onto their lead and eventually drew 3-3 with Athletic Bilbao. For a team whose manger is defence oriented the amount of goals that the Catalans are conceding is truly shocking.

At least Espanyol are scoring goals, though, and for the purposes of today’s bet, goals are all I ask for. After all, in three games, Betis have scored seven and conceded two, while Espanyol, in four games, have scored seven and conceded ten.

Recommendation: Over 2.5 goals (10/11)

Barcelona vs Granada

Tito’s Barca comfortably defeated Getafe at the Alfonso Perez last weekend, with Messi coming off the bench to score a brace. Midweek, against Spartak Moscow in the UEFA Champions League, the Catalans had to come from behind to eventually beat Unai Emery’s charges 3-2. No prizes for guessing who scored the goals that sealed the points! Like it or lump it, Barca are, to some extent, dependant on Messi’s ability to score.

Granada, as you would expect, struggled in front of goal during their home match with Deportivo last time out. But loan singing Floro Flores did eventually earn his temporary employers a point when he converted one of his many chances from close range.

With regards to tonight’s game, you can’t rule out a Champions League, and not FIFA, virus, but surely Granada will be put to the sword with Messi bagging a couple or more if he starts. This is a big if, though – seems wisest to wait for the line-ups before deciding on first half goals, match goals and anything to do do with the world’s best player.

However, and despite the fact that Granada have scored only two goals in four games, I’ve had a small nibble of both teams to score at 19/10. That price has now gone, but the 7/4 available now is also worth a small, chancer’s nibble with the midweek game and Puyol’s absence in mind…I hope!

Anyone really ambitious could try their luck with the pre-mentioned Floro Flores anytime scorer at 7/1.

Worth a small punt: Both teams to score (7/4)

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