Saturday’s (very brief) La Liga previews: 2012/13 – round 17

22 Dec

Real Betis v Mallorca

The latter are in free fall and haven’t won in 14 (approx –I’m too tired to check) games, while fifth placed Betis just keep on winning. However, like against Rayo and Granada (both unexpected 2-1 home losses) Betis are seemingly due another shocking upset on home turf, so beware of that. But on current form you have to back Betis, and 1.8 seems generous.

Recommendation: Betis at 1.8 with William Hill

Valladolid v Barcelona

As they did against Real Madrid, the home side will give Barca a run for their money and won’t be short of effort, but you have to expect Barca to score a few goals and dedicate the victory to Tito.
Given the price with this firm (others are 1.62), I like Barca to score in both halves.

Recommendation: Barca to score in both halves at 1.91 with Totesport

Malaga v Real Madrid

Malaga have the best defence in the league, while Real Madrid are in shocking form having drawn 2-2 at home to Espanyol last weekend and lost 2-1 away to Celta Vigo in the cup. Of course, you would expect a reaction from Real Madrid today and they could score a few goals, but Los Blancos have struggled with Malaga in the last year or so and it therefore seems prudent to apply a + handicap to the Anchovies.
However, the price has gone (was 1.96) on this bet so you choose if it’s an acceptable risk to take at the new price.

Recommendation: Malaga + 1 Asian handicap at 1.86 with Pinnacle

Osasuna v Granada

I genuinely don’t have time to look up the stats as I write this in work, but Granada haven’t scored in several hours of play and Osasuna are a low scoring team who are very capable of 0-0 draws. Both teams to score NO is the value bet at 1.83, but I also like Osasuna to win at 2.0 with Ladbrokes.

Recommendation: Both teams to score NO at 1.83 with Paddy Power and Stan James

Athletic Bilbao v Real Zaragoza

One would expect a home win, but Zara have been winning a few away games recently and I’ve decided in-play or not at all with this game.

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