Thursday’s Copa del Rey betting advice: 2012/13 – 10th January 2013

9 Jan

COPADELREY

Getafe v Atletico Madrid (0-3 on aggregate)

Projected Marca line-ups

-They have scored three at home to Atletico before, but it seems unlikely that Getafe will do so again unless Atleti make a lot of errors.

-Diego Simeone, the Atletico Madrid coach, has confirmed that Falcao will start.

-Getafe have not lost at home to Atleti since 2008 and defeated their neighbours here in 2011/12.

-Getafe have scored in their last five home games against Atletico, while Los Colchoneros have scored in four out of their last five trips to the Alfonso Perez.

Conclusion

Getafe can win in 90 mins with Atletico 3-0 up on aggregate, but with Falcao to play a part I’m going for both teams to score.

Recommendation: Both teams to score (1.8 with Stan James)

Barcelona v Cordoba (2-0 on aggregate)

Projected Mara line-ups

-Barca will rest several regulars, but Messi and Villa are set to start.

-Cordoba fought well in the first leg and were unlucky to have a goal ruled out in the first half of that game.

Conclusion

I’d like to bet on over 1.5 first half goals, but not at 1.67. Instead, with Puyol and Pique out I’m taking a chance on both teams scoring at 2.38. Take note of how it is categorised, though.

Worth a small punt: Both teams to score at 2.38

Betis v Las Palmas (1-1 on aggregate)

Projected Marca line-ups

-Benat is out but Ruben Castro starts.

-Betis looked more than capable of beating Las Palmas in the first leg and were unlucky not to do so.

-We know that Betis occasionally lose to lesser teams at home (Mallorca, Granada etc).

Conclusion

Las Palmas can’t progress as things stand and must therefore score. Betis are more than capable of scoring twice against anybody and won’t try to protect their away goal advantage, so I like over 2.5 goals here. I do expect Betis to win, if you’re wondering.

Recommendation: Over 2.5 goals (1.81 with Pinnacle)

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