Thursday’s Copa del Rey previews: 2012/13 – 24th January

24 Jan

rubencastroinjured

Real Betis v Atletico Madrid (2nd leg)

Projected Marca line-ups

-Atletico won the first leg 2-0, with both goals coming in the first half.

-Falcao is injured and won’t play tonight.

-I can’t say for sure that Ruben Castro and Benat will start for Betis, but it’s likely that they do.

-In the league, Atletico won 4-2 here earlier this season. However, Betis had two players sent off.

-Atleti, who fielded Falcao for sixty minutes, drew 0-0 away to Getafe in their second leg tie in the last round of the Copa. Simeone’s boys had won the first leg 3-0 and therefore didn’t need to win the second.

-Getafe played half of the above game with ten men.

Conclusion

If Ateti were happy to protect a two goal lead for nigh on seventy minutes on their own patch, it wouldn’t surprise me to see them do the same for ninety minutes here.

Los Colchoneros coach Diego Simeone is quite happy to play out 0-0 draws if his team have a first leg cushion, and with Falcao out I’d expect Betis to be able to draw or win on the night, but exit the competition.

Recommendation: Betis + 0.25 Asian handicap at 1.89 with 188 bet

messi

Malaga v Barcelona (2nd leg)

Projected Marca line-ups

First leg overview:

-Both teams fielded weakened sides, though Messi did start for Barca.

-Malaga took a shock lead after dispossessing Thiago.

-Barca quickly responded, leading 2-1 at half time.

-Malaga played better in the second half and brought a couple more of their first teamers on.

-Barca were lethargic in the second half, paying the price when Malaga equalised via a set piece.

-This was the seventh time in a row that both teams have scored when the two have faced off.

Second leg info:

Malaga’s Toulalan will again not feature, while left back Monreal is suspended. Attacking midfielder Isco will likely miss the game through injury.

Barca have taken a very strong squad to Malaga, including Pique, Villa, Messi, Alves, Iniesta, Xavi, Dani Alves, Busquets, Puyol and Fabregas.

Conclusion

As they showed us a few weeks ago, at their best, Barca can brush Malaga aside at La Rosaleda – and given that they are likely to field an extremely strong side against a weakened Malaga X1, I can see the Catalans winning by two goals or more.

However, although Barca – 1.5 AH looks like a good bet, and as the Catalans are exiting the competition as things stand, I’ve gone for a fast start with time of first Barca goal before 31:00.

Recommendation: Time of first Barca goal before 31:00 at 1.83 with Bet 365

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