Saturday’s La Liga previews: 2012/13 – round 21

25 Jan

apas

Celta de Vigo v Real Sociedad

Beat Barca one week and then lose to Celta the next is the kind of result that La Real should suffer here. However, the Basque boys must be brimming with confidence in front of goal after handing Barca their first league defeat of the season.

In conclusion, with both teams having scored in 4/5 of Celta and Real Sociedad’s respective home and away La Liga games, I’ve opted to chance 5/6 for each come Saturday evening.

Recommendation: Both teams to score (1.75)

obafemi

Levante v Valladolid

Without a goal to his name in nearly two months, it’s fair to say that Obafemi Martins has reverted to type! His team, Levante, have lost their last three games in all competitions – each of them road games.

However, as hard to beat as Valladolid are, they will miss star attacker Ebert (injured again), and Levante have proved to be a good home team in 2012/13. Therefore, Levante get the nod, but under 2.5 goals also makes sense given what I’ve just written!

Ever honest, I’m just too tired to choose one so I’ll leave it up you to decide.

images (10)

Real Zaragoza v Espanyol

Zara fielded a team of reserves in their 4-0 Copa del Rey defeat at Seville midweek, so you can forget the extra game factor today. However, Zara are a poor home team, having lost 6 of their 9 La Liga games in 2012/13.

Espanyol have only lost to Barca since Javier Aguirre was installed as coach, but they haven’t won an away game under his tutelage either. Given this, Espanyol + 0.25 seems like a good bet.

But with key attacker Verdu out for the Catalans, along with having the opinion that every outcome is as likely as the other, I’ve decided not to bet on this game.

VALVERDE

Deportivo La Coruna v Valencia

After losing 2-1 at Osasuna last weekend, Domingos tasted defeat for the first time as Deportivo manager. However, as pointed out by a few of my Portuguese followers, the former Sporting Lisbon boss has quickly strengthened the midfield, making it hard to play through.

Although they’ve proved to be a very poor away team in the league this season, Valencia, under Valverde, have won both road league games played under the former Olympiacos boss.

However, with star striker Soldado likely to miss the trip to Galicia and Los Che tired and mentally weak after failing to bother Real Madrid in three consecutive games – one of which was midweek – I wouldn’t back Valverde’s boys to win today.

It must be said, though, that I can’t remember the last time Depor defeated Valencia at the Riazor, and Los Che have always been considered a bogey team for the Northerners – even relegating them here a few seasons ago when Valencia had nothing to gain by winning.

All in all, I’m expecting a low scoring game as Depor’s midfield is now hard to pass, they are without star striker Riki, Valencia are tired, dejected and will likely miss star striker Soldado who, even if he starts or makes an appearance from the bench, is not fully fit.

Recommendation: Under 2.5 goals (1.85)

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