Saturday’s La Liga previews: 2012/13 – round 22

1 Feb

kikesola

Osasuna v Celta de Vigo

They did manage to score a well worked goal through Loe, but Osasuna later saw Arribas sent off and eventually lost 5-1 away to a Messi inspired Barcelona last weekend. All in all, it was as expected – ten or eleven men.

Celta, via Krohn Delhi’s first half strike, took the lead at home to Real Sociedad in round 21 but eventually drew one all – forced to play with ten men for a large portion of the game after Augusto Fernandez was given his marching orders early in the second half. Given their numerical handicap, Celta did well to hold on for a point.

In conclusion, Celta managed a draw away to Malaga in their last away game, but they’ve lost 9 out of 11 away games in 2012/13 and will be without the attacking tandem of Krohn – Delhi and Augusto Fernandez.

All in all, the above reasoning is enough to temp me into backing an Osasuna side that has beaten Deportivo and drawn with Real Madrid in her last two home games. Should be a closely fought match, though, as both teams struggle to score goals but don’t concede many.

Recommendation: Osasuna – 0.25 Asian handicap (1.88)

riki2

Getafe v Deportivo La Coruna

Lafita had a shot cleared of the line and the Azulones held Real to a scoreless first half, but otherwise Getafe’s short journey across Madrid played out as expected in round 21, with 4-0 the final score.

Deportivo fell behind to a first minute goal during their clash with Valencia at the Riazor last weekend, but through two great Riki goals led 2-1 at half time. However, Valencia had been the better team until that point and once Depor were reduced to ten men it became clear that Valencia would win – and that they did.

In conclusion, Getafe have drawn their last 4 games, and I’d like to give Depor a half goal start as a consequence. However, Depor’s Assuncao, Silvio and Marchena will all miss today’s game – with Valeron listed as doubtful – and we have to assume that Domingos honeymoon period is over after two straight defeats.

Getafe’s best player, Barrada, returns from African Nations duty and this, coupled with home advantage and Depor’s injury woes, tilts the balance towards an Azulones victory today.

I’ve decided not to bet on this game pre-match, though.

sergiogarcia

Espanyol v Levante

In a sleep inducing game bereft of clear cut chances, Espanyol drew 0-0 away to Zaragoza in round 21. The Catalans now occupy 15th position in the 2012/13 Liga BBVA standings.

Although they were extremely fortunate to win through a comedy own goal, Levante improved their excellent home record to 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses after 2-1 defeat of Valladolid. After this victory, Levante sit in 8th place.

In conclusion, be at in Valencia or Barcelona, Levante have won the last four head to clashes with Espanyol. Also, the last 3 matches between these two have seen both teams score and at least three goals in each.

Espanyol to win is the obvious choice if you’re looking purely at home and away stats, but given past history I’m going for the over goals.

Worth a punt: Over 2.5 goals (2.25)

ronaldo1

Granada v Real Madrid

Meekly submitting to Andalusian rivals Sevilla last Monday evening, Granada eventually lost 3-0. In truth, it could have been a lot more had it not been for the excellent goalkeeping of Granada keeper Roberto. All in all, it was a bitterly disappointing result for Granada considering their recent form, and ultimately it cost the coach his job.

Besides the midweek 1-1 Copa del Rey Clasico draw at home to Barcelona, Real defeated Getafe 4-0 at the Bernabeu last Sunday lunchtime. The first half was poor viewing with few chances, but Real found their scoring touch in the second half after Ronaldo netted a hat-trick in this eventual 4-0 win for Los Blancos.

In conclusion, due to short prices about both to score and over 2.5 goals, I’m going for Real to score both in halves at 1.83. I am tempted by Real HT/FT and – 1 AH, but I don’t oppose new managers in their first game as a principle.

Recommendation: Real to score in both halves (1.83)

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