Saturday’s La Liga previews: 2012/13 – round 23

8 Feb

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Mallorca v Osasuna

Handicapped after midfielder Javi Marquez was given two yellow cards in the first half, Mallorca’s remaining ten men lost 3-0 away to Real Sociedad last weekend – a result that cost manager Joaquin Caparros his job.

As expected, Osasuna defeated Celta Vigo in Pamplona last weekend. Armenteros scored the only goal of the game in the second half.

In conclusion, I don’t oppose new managers in their first game, and as Osasuna have lost 7/10 away games I’m going for Mallorca – 0.25.

Recommendation: Mallorca – 0.25 Asian handicap (1.88)


Celta de Vigo v Valencia

Celta, a poor away team, lost 1-0 at Osasuna last weekend. Valencia, however, earned an impressive 1-1 draw at home to Barca in their round 22 clash, with Banega scoring the Che goal.

In conclusion, Valencia’s road results have improved dramatically since Valverde was appointed coach. But with Celta strong at home and a UEFA Champions League match on the horizon for Valverde and co it seems wise to favour Celta in the 90 minute betting.

However, both teams have scored in Celta’s last 2 home games, with each side also netting in Valencia’s last two away. Should end 1-1 or 2-1, I think, but both teams to score seems like the best choice.

Recommendation: Both teams to score (1.85)


Levante v Malaga

Although Pellegrini’s Anchovies were far from their best at home to Zaragoza last weekend, they were denied a legit goal and likely victory after Saviola – who was clearly at least half a yard on – was deemed offside by the visually impaired officials.

Unable to repeat last season’s win at the Cornella El Prat, Levante nevertheless played quite well in their 3-2 away defeat to Espanyol last weekend. Ruben and Martins were the Levante scorers.

In conclusion, Malaga won their last away game at Mallorca and do not concede many goals, but I’d favour Levante – who have won 7/10 home games – to make it three wins in a row against the Anchovies in Valencia.

Recommendation: Levante – draw no bet (1.83)


Deportivo La Coruna v Granada

Through Pizzi’s pen, not so super Depor opened the scoring away to Getafe and even enjoyed a one man advantage for part of the game, but after having a player of their own sent off in the second half the boys from a Coruna folded, allowing Getafe to win 3-1.

With a new boss in charge, Granada stunningly defeated Real Madrid 1-0 at Los Carmenes last weekend. Amusingly, Madrid’s Ronaldo scored the goal!

In conclusion, I’m keeping with the momentum of a new boss by giving the visitors a plus handicap start against a Deportivo team that has lost her last three games and is riddled with suspensions.

Recommendation: Granada + 0.5 Asian handicap (1.84)

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Real Madrid v Sevilla

With a meek, disinterested performance, the players of Real Madrid lost 1-0 away to Granada in round 22. You can say that the midweek cup Clasico took something out of the Los Blancos players, but their all round performance was pathetic and I’ve lost count of how many away games they’ve lost in 2012/13!

Sevilla defeated Rayo 2-1 at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan in their round 22 Liga BBVA fixture. Rakitic and Negredo were the Rojiblancos scorers.

In conclusion, Medel and – if he plays –Pepe should both be good for bookings, and I can also see someone getting sent off! After all, clashes between these two are pretty much always bad tempered affairs and Sevilla have seen red a lot recently.

I’d expect Real – 1.5 Asian handicap to win, but without knowing how strong a team Jose is putting out with Manchester United on the horizon, I’m not going to place a bet at this stage.

However, be sure to join me on Twitter to see what I choose nearer the time.


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