Saturday’s La Liga previews: 2012/13 – round 24

13 Feb


Getafe v Celta de Vigo

In round 23, Getafe lost 6-1 at Camp Nou. Alvaro Vasquez was the Azulones scorer. Today’s opponents, Celta, had a few chances at home to Valencia in their round 23 fixture last weekend, but lost 1-0 to a late goal – it was a fair result.

In conclusion, whether this pick turns out to be correct or not, I can’t see any other bet apart from a home win here. After all, Celta have lost ten of their twelve away games in 2012/13, and Getafe, with five wins, three defeats and three draws at the Alfonso Perez, should be able to make it eleven.

Recommendation: Getafe – 0.25 Asian handicap (1.88)


Malaga v Athletic Bilbao

Previously really good at home and indifferent but not bad on their travels, Malaga have won their last two away games and draw the last two at La Rosaleda! In round 23, Malaga won 2-1 at Levante last Saturday, with the talented Isco scoring both goals.

Now, despite Athletic’s stunning San Mames demolition at the hands of Espanyol last weekend, the Basques have scored in every road game they played for months, and I fancy them to do the same today against a Malaga team that will have one eye on their upcoming trip to Portugal to play Porto.

I’m tempted to back Athletic on a + Asian handicap, but they seem unlikely to keep a clean sheet and recent stats are very much in favour of both teams scoring.

Recommendation: Both teams to score (1.8)


Granada v Barcelona

Making my + 0.5 goal start an easy winner, Granada won 3-0 away to Deportivo at the Riazor last weekend. With an own goal from Depor’s Marchena opening the scoring, Ighalo and Siqueira each netted for Granada.

In the noon Sunday timeslot, Barca demolished Getafe 6-1. Messi, Villa, Iniesta, Pique, Tello and even Alexis Sanchez each netted for the Catalans.

In conclusion, I’m tempted to give Granada a handicap start as Barca struggled to defeat them at Camp Nou earlier this season, could only win 1-0 here in 2011/12 and are due to play Ac Milan in the Champions League next week.

However, a Granada + 1.5 Asian handicap (currently priced at 2.21) could make for uncomfortable viewing given how many goals Barca have scored on the road this season – and I’m not sure If I’m brave enough to take this bet right now.

All in all, it seems wise to see how strong a team Barca field in Granada before making a decision, so that’s what I’m going to do.


Osasuna v Real Zaragoza

The better team and deserving of all three points, Osasuna conceded a late goal to draw 1-1 away to Mallorca last weekend. Lolo, with a header, was the Osasuna scorer.

Zaragoza, reduced to ten men after Ortega was given his second yellow card midway through the first half, lost 2-1 at home to Real Sociedad last weekend. Apono – a reliable penalty taker – scored from the spot in the dying moments of the game.

In conclusion, Zaragoza have proved to be a good road team in 2012/13, but they’ve lost three out of their last four and, amongst others, will be without top scorer Positga today.

Zaragoza have also lost to Osasuna in three of their last four visits to Pamplona – drawing the other – and failed to score in any of them. So, that coupled with Osasuna winning their last two home games and drawing with Real Madrid in the game prior to those make this a straightforward pick.

Recommendation: Osasuna (2.0)


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