Sunday’s La Liga previews: 2012/13 – round 24

13 Feb

images (1)

Real Sociedad v Levante

A team in great form, La Real defeated Real Zaragoza 2-1 at La Romareda last weekend. Griezmann and Agirretxe were their scorers – both netting in the first half.

Levante -generally poor away yet good at home – lost 2-1 to Malaga in Valencia last weekend. From the penalty spot, Bakero scored Levante’s – the opening – goal.

In conclusion, we should see a home win today as the stats and current form favour it heavily. However, I feel obliged to point out a few other factors that I deem worth consideration.

They are:

-Both teams have scored in the last six head to head meetings, with Levante emerging victorious in the last three.

-This a noon Sunday kick off in Spain, and they are notoriously erratic results wise; I’ve seen many a home team start slow and concede to the un-fancied away side.

So, you’ve been warned and now know that over 2.5 goals and BTTS are viable alternatives/additions, but I’ve got to pick what makes sense on paper here.

Worth a punt: Real Sociedad (1.8)

images (5)

Valencia v Mallorca

Some correct, some not, Soldado was ruled offside more times than I can remember in Valencia’s road game with Celta last weekend! Thankfully for Los Che, though, super sub Valdez scored in injury time to give them a 1-0 victory.

Mallorca were second best at home to Osasuna last weekend, but rescued a draw through Geromel’s injury time header. All in all, a less than impressive start for new Barralets boss Manzano, but he is undefeated in his second stint at the helm!

In conclusion, Valencia played and lost a tiring game at home to PSG in the Champions League midweek and Mallorca have a good record at the Mestalla. Therefore, I shall avoid betting on a home win and have instead opted for both teams to score – a winning bet in the last three head to head clashes between these two in Valencia.

Lastly, over 2.5 goals (1.73), Mallorca total goals over 0.5 (1.91 with only one firm) and maybe even Mallorca + 1.25 Asian handicap (1.88) are also worth consideration.

Recommendation(s): Both teams to score (2.0) or, if you can get this price, total Mallorca goals over 0.5 (1.91)

manucho

Valladolid v Atletico Madrid

Djukic’s Valladolid were reduced to ten men during their game away to Real Betis last Monday evening, but held on to draw 0-0.

Atletico were once again put to the sword on away ground when losing 2-1 to city rivals Rayo Vallecano. Falcao scored Atleti’s goal in injury time.

In conclusion, with five wins, four draws and three defeats, Valladolid are decent on home soil, while Atleti haven’t won a road game in some time and will play in the Europa League the day after I’ve penned these previews.

Recommendation: Valladolid + 0.5 Asian handicap (1.9)

sergiogarcia

Espanyol v Real Betis

Most impressively, Aguirre’s Espanyol swept Athletic Bilbao aside 4-0 at San Mames last Sunday. Honestly, It wasn’t how I expected to win my over 2.5 goals bet, but I expected Espanyol to score and, of course, profit is profit!

Betis, devoid of Ruben Castro through injury – expected to last for another week or so yet – could only draw 0-0 at home to Valladolid last weekend. Pepe Mel’s boys had loads of chances, but lacked the cutting edge that number 24 provides.

In conclusion, we know that Betis can win away, but they’ve been in poor form recently and haven’t scored many goals. Therefore, it seems wise to go with the excellent form and home advantage of Espanyol this time.

Recommendation: Espanyol (2.2)

leobapsitao

Real Madrid v Rayo Vallecano

With Ronaldo haunting Sevilla yet again, Real Madrid defeated Emery’s boys 4-1 at the Bernabeu last weekend. Indeed, Ronny stole the show with a hat-trick of strikes – his final effort coming from a run he began in his own half!

Of course, as tweeted before kickoff, I got the red card I wanted and was most happy to win at a 3.0 price!

Rayo came out of the blocks fast to defeat Atletico Madrid 2-1 in the Teresa Rivero last Sunday evening. All in all it was a very impressive performance from Paco Jemez’s boys, with Leo gaining the headlines for scoring against his future employers.

In conclusion, with Real due to play Manchester United hours after I’m writing this preview I wanted to bet on both teams scoring in Real Madrid v Rayo, but then the price – at 1.75 – is a bit too short for my liking, so I’ll either choose another bet before kickoff or bet in-play.

Finally, I must say that I’m tempted by Rayo + 2.25 Asian handicap at 1.88, but they lost 6-2 here last year and some form of over goals may be wiser. I’ll see how the markets shape up nearer the time.

Worth a small punt: Leo Baptistao anytime scorer (6.5)

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: