Saturday’s La Liga previews: 2012/13 – round 30

6 Apr

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Real Sociedad v Malaga

La Real are in great form, currently fourth in the standings. Fifth placed Malaga won their last away game at Rayo (usually a strong home team) and therefore should not be discounted.

However, as Pellegrini’s Anchovies played Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League midweek, and as they’ll play them again in the second leg next week, I feel compelled to go with a home win today.

Lastly, though, I must give warning that Real Sociedad’s Vela, Prieto and Chory Castro are all listed as doubtful for this game. Of course, all three may play, but it’s probably best to wait and see the La real line-up before betting, especially at 1.73.

Recommendation: Real Sociedad (1.73)

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Real Madrid v Levante

Although they are 3-0 up on aggregate and unlikely to see that overturned by Galatasaray when they visit Turkey for the second leg, Real Madrid and Jose Mourinho may still rest players against Levante.

Nevertheless, you could still guess at over 1.5 first half goals (1.83) or time of first Real goal before 26:00 (1.83) and stand a decent chance of winning, but I’ve opted to back Levante to score instead.

Why? Well, put simply, I’m happy to back the big two’s opposition to score this weekend given that the priorities of Real and Barca lay elsewhere (UCL).

Also, Levante scored in their last four away games and managed to find the back of the net twice on their visit to the Bernabeu last season.

Recommendation: Total Levante goals over 0.5 (2.0)

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Deportivo La Coruna v Real Zaragoza

Not so ‘Super Depor’ are still bottom of the 2012/13 Liga BBVA standings, but do come into this game in good form after winning their last two games.

Zaragoza held Real Madrid to a 1-1 draw at La Romareda last weekend, though they’d been in very poor form in the weeks leading up to this match – and Real had other priorities.

All in all, I’m picking a home win, but am not yet sure if I want to chance my money on it at this stage.

Recommendation: Deportivo (2.0)

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Barcelona v Mallorca

As with the Real Madrid game, I like the away team to score here. Barca, like Los Blancos, played in the Champions league midweek and will play in it again next week.

Along with a few other players, Messi is listed as doubtful for the visit of Mallorca – and why would you risk him today if so?

Manzano’s Islanders, despite losing 3-2 at home to bottom club Depor last week, are in good from and, crucially, scoring in every game.

I think the Islanders will score today – maybe through former La Masia product Dos Santos – and have bet on this outcome.

Recommendation: Total Mallorca goals over 0.5 (1.91)

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