Monday’s La Liga preview: 2012/13 – round 31

14 Apr

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Mallorca v Celta Vigo

With the Islanders currently bottom of the Liga BBVA standings and Celta a place above them, this is what the English media call a “six pointer.”

In terms of form, Mallorca have lost their last three games- though we must consider that these defeats were away to Real and Barca, with the latest a home loss to form team Deportivo.

Besides a home draw with a Barca team that rested players and had other priorities at the time, Celta have fared little better in recent fixtures, losing to Deportivo and Rayo.

With regards to each team’s home and away form this season, Mallorca have only won four games at Son Moix, drawing three and losing seven, while Celta have won one road game, drawn one and lost a staggering thirteen.

Now, a both teams must win scenario should either mean that the sides will play defensively – too scared to lose – and we’ll have a low scoring game, or a very open game with a few goals.

In my eyes, as Celta are without top scorer Aspas and considering that they have only scored fourteen goals in fifteen road games this season – while factoring in that Mallorca have scored five goals in their last three home games, enjoy home advantage today and have no injuries to key players, I have to recommend a win for Manzano and his charges.

However, I understand that many of you will be tempted by both teams to score given the scenario – and I can tell you that it’s been a winning bet in Celta’s last three road games (certainly, Aspas didn’t feature in the last one) and Mallorca’s last six at home.

Recommendation: Mallorca (2.1)

Worth a small punt: Mallorca win and BTTS (4.33)

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