Sunday’s La Liga Betting Previews – 01/12/13

29 Nov

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In order to make the previews easier to write this time, I’ve opted for a simple style, mainly just listing stats that will explain my betting choices.

All prices are courtesy of my employer, William Hill. Of course, thanks for reading and good luck, whatever you choose to bet on.

JC

Real Betis (19/20) v Rayo Vallecano (11/4), 11:00

Rayo have won the last five head to head matches, including the last two in Seville.

-Rayo have won two of their last three away games

-Betis have lost six of their last seven league games (they were thrashed 4-0 by Sevilla last weekend), currently occupying 20th position in the standings (Rayo are 17th)

-Betis’ star striker, Ruben Castro, may start but is not fully match fit.

-Betis played and lost 1-0 to Lyon is France on Thursday night, while Rayo aren’t in Europe and should have a well rested team.

Recommendation: Rayo (11/4)

Granada (19/10) v Sevilla (29/20), 16:00

-Granada had a man sent off and lost 4-0 away to Barca last weekend.

-Sevilla thrashed nieghours Real Betis 4-0 at the Ramon Sanchez Pijuan in their fixture last weekend.

-Sevilla won their last away game, 3-1 at Espanyol, but had not won a league away game in 2013 prior to that.

-Granada won their last home game, 3-1 against Malaga, but have lost four out of their last six at their own stadium.

-Sevilla will have played an extra game compared to Granada – a 1-1 draw at home to Estoril in the Europa League on Thursday evening.

-Both teams have scored in Sevilla’s last six away league games – and last eight if you count Europa fixtures.

-Both teams have scored in Granada’s last two home games.

Recommendation: Both teams to score (4/5)

Valencia (4/9) v Osasuna (13/2), 18:00 – 2nd half live on Sky Sports 1

-Valencia outplayed their hosts, Elche, on the road last weekend, but lost 2-1.

-Valencia fielded a strong team away to Swansea in the Europa League on Thursday evening, winning 1-0.

-Out of their last four away games, Osasuna have won two and lost two, winning 1-0 at Valladolid last time out.

-Five out of Valencia’s last six home games have contained three goals or more.

-Four out of Osasuna’s last six away games have contained three goals or more.

-Osasuna have scored in five out of their last six away games

-The last two meetings between these two at the Mestalla have seen three goals or more in each.

Recommendation: Over 2.5 goals (4/5)

Athletic Bilbao (4/1) v Barcelona (8/13), 20:00 – live on Sky Sports 1

-Benefiting from a red card, Athletic came from a goal down to beat Malaga 2-1 at La Rosaleda last Monday.

-Barca defeated Granada 4-0 at Camp Nou last weekend, maintaining their 100% start to the season.

-In the Champions League, Barca, fielding a few of their ‘stars’, lost 2-1 to Ajax in a game they didn’t need to win midweek.

-Athletic have not yet tasted defeat at their new San Mames stadium, winning four and drawing two.

-At the Basque clubs old stadium, the original San Mames, this game ended in a 2-2 draw last season.

-Both teams have scored in five out of Athletic’s last six home games.

-This looked like a fixture Barca could struggle in, but then you’d expect a reaction from their midweek UCL defeat in Holland.

Worth a punt: Match Result and Both Teams to Score: Barcelona (2/1)

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