Saturday’s La Liga Betting Previews – 21/12/13

20 Dec

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Villarreal (1.91) v Sevilla (4.4)

In terms of team news, Villarreal will again miss key midfielder Cani, but their other key player, Bruno, is back from suspension to bring his all round game to the Yellow Submarines midfield.

Sevilla should be without left-back Moreno, who’s been in good form recently, through injury. M’Bia also misses out through suspension.

Sevilla should be extra motivated to go for the win after their shocking midweek home loss to Racing Santander but, most notably, both teams have scored in 7/9 Villarreal home games and all 6 of Sevilla’s last 6 away.

Emery’s boys, after going most of the calender year without a league away win, have won their last 2 away games.

If we consider that Villarreal have only lost once at home and combine it with Sevilla’s improved form and the stats above, it sounds a score a draw to me.

BTTS also has a strong history in this fixture, though, so I’ll stick with that.

Recommendation: Both teams to score (1.8)

Betis (1.8) v Almeria (5)

Well, the new manager effect didn’t help Betis in their 5-1 defeat away to Real Sociedad last weekend and, as such, you’d be brave to back them at an odds-on price today, particularly when we consider that they’re without a league win in nearly 3 months!

On the other hand, Almeria struggle to score goals and are hard to back.

Both teams to score has won in 2 of the last 3 Betis home games and 2 out of the last three Almeria away, so that bet, priced at 1.78, has enough merit for a punt, but not a big one.

I will abstain from betting on this game as a Betis fan (told you we’d struggle and possibly get relegated at the start of the season!), but with Almeria having won 2 out of their last three away games and Betis win troubles mentioned earlier, I also offer a pick for the handicap bettors.

Lastly, if Rodri is not cleared fit to play and does not start for Almeria, the BTTS bet loses a little appeal, so I’d suggest you wait for the starting lineups before placing a bet – unless you get with the handicap offering now.

Worth a punt: Both teams to score (1.78)


Worth a punt on the Asian line: Almeria + 0.75 (1.96)

Atletico Madrid (1.17) v Levante (23)

Atletico, who have the same number of points and goal difference that Barcelona do, are imperious at home and rarely concede. They also rested pretty much all of their best eleven in the Copa del Rey midweek.

In terms of suitable bet choices, Atleti – 2 AH is 1.75, HT/FT 1.55, to win to nil 1.67 and to score in both halves is 1.67.

Los Colchoneros to score over 2.5 goals is, however, more attractive pricewise and very much plausible.

Recommendation for the goal bettor: Total Atletico goals over 2.5 (1.85)

Recommendation for the Asian handicap punter: Atletico – 2 (1.75)

Granada (2.63) v Real Sociedad (3.0)

Both teams have scored in 4 of the last 5 head to head clashes between these two, with BTTS also a winner in the last three Granada home games and Real Sociedad’s last 4 away.

In terms of the match result, Granada have lost 3 of their last 4 at home and 6/8 in total. La Real, on the other hand, have won 2 of their last 4 away – at Espanyol and Valencia, lost at Real Madrid and drawn with Valladolid.

The Basques have improved recently and should benefit from being out of the Champions League, but the Granada players have spoken of how they can’t wait for Saturday and are determined to put on a performance and win in front of their fans after a cup loss to a lesser team midweek.

That’s put me off going for Real Sociedad draw no bet at 2.1, but we can have a small tickle on the BTTS and La Real to win.

Recommendation: Both teams to score (1.85)


Worth a punt: Both teams to score and Real Sociedad to win (4.5)

As always, I hope my thoughts are of use to you when choosing which bets to take. Thanks for reading, sharing and re-tweeting, and good luck.

JC

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