Athletic Bilbao v Valladolid betting thoughts – 20/01/14

20 Jan

adurizymunian

AAthletic Bilbao v Valladolid

Athletic played in the cup last week and will play in it again this week (away to Atletico).

Valladolid, on the other hand, were eliminated from the cup in the last round.

Valladolid are conceding a lot of goals in away games, but have scored in two of their last four league.

Valladolid have lost their last three away games and have only won one La Liga road game in 2013/14.

Key attacker Ebert may return for Valladolid.

At their old San Mames stadium, Athletic often defeated Valladolid 2-0 in the last few seasons.

Athletic simply don’t have a really good striker, or someone who can score 20 + goals a season, and are dependent on goals throughout the team.

At their new home, where they are undefeated, the Basque’s generally get two or three goals.

However, their top scorer, midfielder Mikel Riko (5), is suspended, while the second top scorer, defender San Jose (4) is also suspended.

Iker Muniain is Athletic’s best attacker and, guess what, he won’t play against Valladolid either.

Athletic have struggled for goals recently and given their absentees against Valladolid, someone like Aduriz will have to’ step up.

We have to beware of tiredness and Athletic possibly having one eye on their cup game with Atletico in Madrid midweek, but whilst I don’t expect the Basque’s to lose, I don’t see this being easy for them and am not fully convinced which bet to take.

I’ll either bet once I have team news, In-Play or not bet at all, but if you are going to punt on this game, here are a few suggestions to consider:

Athletic HT/FT (1.95)

I should think that they’ll want to put this game to bed quickly with the Copa in mind, so a business like 1 or 2-0 win, with a goal in the first half, would fit the bill.

Both teams to score (2.0)

Well, iffy you might say, and agreed, but Ebert is a very good player and Guerra has scored in Camp Nou, so why not at the new San Mames against a depleted Athletic side that has played more football recently?

Valladolid + 1.5 (1.85)

Call it a hunch and nothing more, but I can envisage Valladolid scoring and Athletic being forced to try and win 2-1. Given their scoring woes, tiredness and impending cup game, a 1-0 win would suffice for Athletic.

Whatever you choose, good luck.

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