Levante v Barcelona Betting Preview – 22/01/14

22 Jan

Levante v Barcelona

Head to head and from 2011 onwards only, this game has produced 1-1, 1-2, 0-4 and (only a few days ago) 1-1 results.
So, Barca don’t lose at this ground, but it’s been a BTTS game in 3/4 and, bar the 0-4, hasn’t been a fixture they win with ease.

However, there are a few other factors worth considering that seem more relevant this time:

This is a cup game but, surely, Barca will have a point to prove after dropping points in their 1-1 draw with Levante last Sunday.

Levante have held Barca to draws in the past because they play like they’re in cup final, with an organised ‘park the bus’ defensive mentality.

Key this time, though, is that Levante have a small squad of players, with ten of them probably quite tired after last weekend’s game.

Indeed, if Levante field a near full strength team, then they seem unlikely to prevent Barca’s offence from banging two goals plus in.

If Levante field a very weak and inexperienced team, or a mix with tired players, Barca can still, on paper, win by a couple of goals, with a clean sheer surely more likely this time.

Perhaps it’s time for another 0-4 or similar in the head to head records, but I believe the correct tactical play is Barcelona – 1.75 Asian handicap, which is currently best priced at 1.83.

However – and it’s the biggest however – I would not recommend placing this bet until the starting X1’s have been released (generally an hour before KO).

If Messi, Fabregas, Alexis and Pedro start, or Messi and any two of the others, then I recommend this bet to those looking for one.

Second choice and perhaps worth a punt if what I’ve just stated directly above rings true, is Barca team goals over 2.5 at 1.83.

Anyway, I hope this brief preview is of use to you, and good luck.

JC

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2 Responses to “Levante v Barcelona Betting Preview – 22/01/14”

  1. F. Alexander January 22, 2014 at 9:52 am #

    Was weighing up AH -2 at evens, think I’ll go for -1.75 once I’ve seen the line ups. Very helpful, thanks.

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