Barca & Atletico to prosper – Copa del Rey Semi-Final 1st Leg Betting Preview

5 Feb

DiegoCosta

Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid, 19:00 – live on Sky Sports 2 (UK)

Pricewise, you can argue that the value is with Real Madrid, who are available at 1.91, but then Atletico have beaten Los Blancos twice in a row at the Bernabeu and you can also argue that the market is, therefore, as it should be.

Also, including the two Super Copa games, Simeone’s Los Colchoneros have thrice held Barcelona to draws within the last six months, and they’re also the only team to have beaten Athletic Bilbao at their new San Mames stadium.

In conclusion, all of this tells us that Atletico must now be considered to be on the same playing level as the ‘Big Two’ of Spanish football, and that as they are undefeated against Real and Barca in five combined games, we should bet on them avoiding defeat once more.

Recommendation: Atletico Madrid + 0.5 Asian handicap (2.05)

messi

Barcelona v Real Sociedad, 21:00 – live on Sky Sports 2 (UK)

In preparation for this game, perhaps the players of Real Sociedad saved a little energy in their 4-0 defeat at Atletico Madrid’s Vicente Calderon stadium last weekend, but the stronger factor appears to be that, since they’ve been comprehensively beaten by both Barcelona and Real Madrid on the road already this season, La Real simply cannot compete with the big boys on away ground.

Now, I’d like to back Barcelona on a minus handicap, but the line closest to evens is – 2.5, and I wouldn’t want to risk more than – 2, which brings about a refund on the Asian lines if Barca only win by two goals, in the first leg of a cup tie.

Alternatively, Barca team goals over 2.5 and over 3.5 match goals carry strong appeal, but not pricewise as each are only available at 1.65, which is too short for a single in my eyes.

Instead, as both teams have scored in the last six head to head meetings between Barcelona and Real Sociedad, I’ve opted to bet on Match Result & Both Teams to Score: Barcelona.

Recommendation: BTTS & Barcelona to win (2.45)

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