Sunday’s Round 23 La Liga Betting Previews

9 Feb


Osasuna v Getafe

Oriol Riera scored a stunning back-heel away to Villarreal last Monday evening, but it was all in vain as Osasuna (2.25) lost 3-1 to the Yellow Submarines.

Getafe (3.75) failed to beat Valladolid at the Alfonso Perez last in the their last fixture, drawing 0-0. It was a disappointing result for my wallet since I’d taken a punt on Getafe!

In conclusion, Osasuna will probably win 1-0 because they need the points a little more and are at home, but these kind of games can be erratic and I opt not to make a pick or place a bet, personally. Good luck if you do.


Valladolid v Elche

As I mentioned in the last preview, Valladolid (2.2) ground out a bore draw 0-0 away to Getafe last weekend. Currently situated in 18th position, Valladolid need the points and will target winning games like this, against Elche.

However, Elche (3.8) are only four points above the drop zone themselves and, while I think that Valladolid will probably win today, I’m not going to place a bet on the game.

For the goals bettor, this game offers an interesting angle with eight out of the last ten Elche league away games containing three goals or more and over 2.5 goals priced at 2.5.

The counter argument to this is that most recent Valladolid home games have contained only 0-1 goals. Something to chew on.


Real Sociedad v Levante

Real Sociedad (1.5) started well against Atletico Madrid at the Vicente Calderon last weekend, but were ultimately put to the sword in a 4-0 defeat. Midweek, in the Copa del Rey, they were forced to play half of the game with ten men after Martinez was sent off, but kept the damage to a 2-0 loss.

Levante (8), on the other hand, went from defeating Sevilla 3-2 in Seville to failing to beat Valladolid at home in the game after. Levante, after elimination in the last round, didn’t play a cup game midweek.

In conclusion, I want to back Real Sociedad – 1 on the Asian handicap, expecting a push worse case, but they might have one eye on the upcoming second leg semi-final cup tie with Barca and the head to head record – which shouldn’t count for anything but often does – is all in favour of Levante.

Indeed, the fresher-legged Levante starters can try and make up for last week by drawing on the fact that they haven’t lost to Real Sociedad in their last six meetings.

Both teams have scored in five out of those six head to head clashes, but while I expect this to become six in seven, 13 out of the last 14 Real Sociedad La Liga matches have passed the over 2.5 goals mark, and this one can too, I hope.

Worth a punt: Over 2.5 goals (1.78)


Sevilla v Barcelona

Most disappointingly, since I had wagered on Sevilla draw no bet, Emery’s Rojiblancos threw away a 2-1 lead to lose 3-2 at Malaga’s La Rosaleda stadium. It was their second defeat in a row after the shock home loss to Levante.

Barcelona (1.6), as you’ll likely know, took an early lead against Valencia and looked to be cruising to an easy win at Camp Nou last weekend, but conceded just before half time and couldn’t get out of second gear after that, losing 3-2.

In conclusion, after Real Madrid’s 4-2 defeat of Villarreal and Atletico’s 2-0 upset loss at Almeria, Barcelona can rise to the top of the La Liga standings once more if they beat Sevilla (6) tonight.

Now, this should be a heated affair with lots of corners, goals and bookings, and it won’t be easy for Barca to win by one goal let alone two, but the Catalans have every incentive to record victory and I’ll risk just getting my money back if they only do it by one goal.

Recommendation: Barcelona – 1 Asian handicap (1.95)


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