Celta Vigo v Athletic Bilbao – Betting Preview & Pick

10 Feb

Charles

Celta Vigo v Athletic Bilbao

They had to come from behind, and to some extent it was – dare I say it – a game of two halves, but Athletic Bilbao (2.3) fully deserved the draw they got with Real Madrid at the new San Mames last weekend.

Celta Vigo (3.4), meanwhile, continued their improved recent form by winning 2-1 away to Granada in round 22 – a result that leaves them four points above the drop one.

It’s worth pointing out that Celta have won two games in a row at home, defeating Real Betis 4-2 and Valencia 2-1. Notably, Enrique’s boys came from behind to win in both games.

Athletic, on the other hand, had struggled to score goals on the road, failing to register in four out of their last five – league and cup combined – games, but then they put five past Osasuna at a ground where Real Madrid and Barcelona had both drawn 0-0.

In head to head competition, last season saw a 1-1 draw in Vigo and 3-2 win for Athletic in Bilbao, while Celta won 1-0 at home and Athletic progressed to the next round of the cup with a 4-0 win in Basque country.

In my opinion, there are two notable betting angles for this game. Firstly, the value is all about Celta since they’re in good form at home, need the points after relegation rivals like Almeria won their round 23 fixtures, and have defeated and drawn with Athletic in their last two meetings in Vigo. Celta Vigo + 0.25 is priced at 1.98.

Secondly, fifth placed Villarreal and sixth placed Real Sociedad both lost their weekend fixtures, so Athletic – who are currently three points clear of the Yellow Submarines – will want to take at least a point from their trip to Vigo, and to do that I think they’ll have to at least score against an in-form Celta team that is scoring and conceding goals at home. Both teams to score is 1.7.

In conclusion, I’ve backed BTTS with a friend at his enhanced 4/5 price because I think that both teams are currently in good goalscoring form and each needs the points for different reasons.

I could be mistaking a mistake by ignoring the value on Celta, but the die is cast and the choice is, of course, yours.

Recommendation: Both teams to score (1.7)

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