Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao – JC La Liga Betting Preview & Pick

2 May

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Paco Jemez’ red-hot Rayo were probably safe from the drop before last weekend’s trip to Granada, but they still won 3-0, against a team who badly needed the points. Therefore, it seems unlikely that the Madrid based side will go into holiday mode in front of their own fans against Athletic this weekend.

Athletic defeated Sevilla 3-1 at the new San Mames last Sunday – a result that leaves the fourth placed Basques six points clear of the fifth placed Andalusian’s with three games to play. As such, I expect they’ll be very happy with a draw at Vallecas this weekend.

All in all, over 2.5 goals and BTTS seem likely, but they are both short priced and, with five out of the last seven Athletic road games containing less than three goals and the Basque side having won only two of those games, it seems smartest to side with a Rayo team that has won seven of its last ten games (their only defeat was away to Real Madrid in that stretch) and is playing swashbuckling football.

Recommendation: Rayo + 0.5 Asian handicap (1.93)

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