2014/15 Round 1 – The games that didn’t make the cut

22 Aug

duda

Malaga v Athletic Bilbao, 18:00 GMT – 23/08/14 – Sky Sports 5 UK

Malaga have only won two of their last five clashes with Athletic, but that can perhaps be offset against the fact that the Basques played Napoli in Naples days ago and will have to play them again soon.

Given the fiscal rewards on offer to those who make the UEFA Champions League group stages, it seems logical to assume that assume that Athletic will prioritise their second-leg tie with Napoli midweek over their trip to Malaga.

More likely under than over 2.5 goals under the circumstances, but what seems like the strongest stronger is to back Malaga 0 Asian line at 2.09.

Perhaps I’m too greedy, but I want Malaga + 0.25 or .5 to make this a proper bet, but they’re too short priced.

lfp

Granada v Deportivo La Coruna, 20:00 GMT – 23/08/14

There’s nothing relevant to work with in terms of head-to-head history between these two and, If anything, with Depor looking set for an another relegation battle immediately after gaining promotion, and Granada now under the stewardship of Joaquin Caparros , a 1 or 2-0 home win sounds most likely.

Too much guesswork,though, and anything is possible so no bet here.

sergiogarcia

Almeria v Espanyol, 22:00 GMT – 23/08/14

A messy game over the years – one wins away, the other does the same etc. Should go under 2.5 goals but occasionally goes over. Neither team will change dramatically in terms of player personal and overall combined ability each year, so it’s guesswork to the extent that I can’t even find a tentative suggestion!

pedroleon

Celta Vigo v Getafe, 20:00 GMT – 24/08/14

Last time these two met I favoured Celta Vigo as they were in better form at the time, but the game ended 1-1, despite Getafe playing with ten men for part of the contest.

I’d ignored the fact that three out of the last four head-to-head meetings between Celta and Getafe had seen both teams score. Of course, it’s now four in five.

All in all, I like what I saw with Celta in pre-season. The new manager seems committed to attacking and they should beat Getafe this weekend.

However, if I back Celta again and the game ends 1-1 I’ll be unhappy. If I back BTTS and it loses, on the other hand, I’ll also be unhappy.

I’ll just watch this one.

bruno

Levante v Villarreal, 22:00 GMT – 24/08/14 – Sky Sports 5 UK

Vietto looks like a very good signing for the Yellow Submarines and they’ve been very potent up front in recent friendly games, as well as their 3-0 Europa League win on Thursday.

Levante have lost their star goalkeeper, Navas, to Real Madrid and while little should change otherwise, the sale of your best player generally counts for something.

I’d bet on Villarreal to repeat their 2013/14 win in Levante, but the fact that they played away in Europe midweek has almost pushed me into Levante +0.5!

The water is too muddy, so I’ll instead watch – and possibly bet – in-play.

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