Athletic v Levante & Cordoba v Celta

30 Aug

Please take note that these are not betting tips, more guidance for punters and a way of seeing how I get on when picking games I’m not actually willing to risk money on. Hopefully my thoughts are of use to some of you.

Athletic Bilbao v Levante

Levante have scored in their last four games against Athletic and are never an easy opponents for the Basque’s, winning 1-0 at the Old San Mames a couple of years ago and taking the lead before being beaten 2-1 in 2013/14.

With the sale of Ander Herrera, Athletic have weakened since last season, while Levante have lost their best and key player, goalkeeper Navas, to Real Madrid.

Levante also have a new coach in Mendilibar – a man who tries to play attractive football, which is not what Levante are set up for, quite the opposite.

Levante couldn’t score in a 2-0 home defeat to Villarreal last time out and failed to find the back of the net in an alarming number of friendly matches against inferior teams. So, despite their strong BTTS record against Athletic, unless the Basque’s participation in last Wednesday’s UEFA Champions League play-off second leg leads to a defensive error that allows Levante to score, it’s hard to trust an away goal in this match.

As such, it seems better to trust over 2.5 goals – a winner in five out of the last six head-to-head matches between Athletic and Levante.

Pick: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.83 with Bet Victor

Braver alternative: Levante + 1.5 AH @ 1.93 with Bet Victor

Cordoba v Celta Vigo

Cordoba held a lacklustre Real Madrid to a 2-0 win at the Bernabeu last weekend and it’s therefore tempting to assume that they’ll beat Celta Vigo on home soil this weekend.

However, history tells is that Cordoba aren’t the only team to play above their level when facing Los Blancos in Madrid – far from it – and mindful of the prices when selecting which games I wanted to bet on last Monday – most of the money has gone on Celta Vigo since then.

I’ve been impressed with Celta in pre-season, and in their first La Liga game of 2014/15. They look capable up front, play good football and could well be in with a shout of a Europa League place next season. A longshot albeit, but not out of the question.

Celta defeated Getafe 3-1 in their round one fixture, playing swashbuckling football at times. I’d decided not to bet on the fixture as it continually produced BTTS games but I’d bet on Celta last season and lost after a 1-1 draw.

Pick: Celta draw no bet @ 1.7 with Coral

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