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Mikey Garcia v Adrien Broner Betting Pick

27 Jul

Broner

Held at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, and broadcast live on Sky Sports in the UK, current WBC lightweight champion Mikey Garcia moves up in weight to face former four-weight world champion Adrien Broner at light-welterweight.

Boasting a 36-0 record with 30 of those wins coming inside the distance, American-born Mikey Garica has an impressive resume, which includes becoming a three-weight world champion.

Indeed, I guess, Garica could even become a four-weight title holder with the lightly-regarded, and hard to justify or even explain, WBC Diamond 140lbs title recently being added to the bout.

Adrian ‘The Problem’ Broner, of course, has already held titles at light-welterweight, and just winning the bout is more important for his turbulent career than the WBC bauble at stake this weekend.

Having had more than his fair share of brushes with the law in his personal life, including recently, the talented Broner – who failed to make weight in each of his last two bouts – has a big incentive to ensure that he doesn’t flout the law inside the ring, too, as weighing in over the agreed limit would cost him $500,00 in fines.

So, a fighter who once ranked near the top of the pound-for-pound rankings and was compared to Floyd Mayweather Jr. by some, for perhaps the first time in a long time, has the motivation to get in shape and take his bout against the hard-hitting Garcia seriously.

Now, whilst Garica is rightly the betting favourite, we don’t know if he’ll carry his power up in weight with him, nor do we know how much a few extra pounds will affect his speed, but we do know that both of Broner’s losses came at higher weights than he was, arguably, suited to and that both were on points.

Given the above, I think that – despite his fearsome KO/TKO record – if Garcia is to win, it’ll be on points. Factor in that only two of Broner’s last seven victories have been by KO/TKO and you can make an argument for bout to go the distance at an 8/11 best price.

If you want an odds-against bet like me, however, all in all, my mindset is that whilst the two boxers are similar in height, Broner is the physically bigger man, the better boxer, more experienced at the weight and worth a punt at the correct at the time of writing 5/2 price.

Worth a punt: Broner to beat Garcia (5/2)

Eubank Jr. vs Abraham Betting Pick

15 Jul

eubank-jr-abraham@3x

Held at London’s Wembley Arena and live on ITV Box Office, Chris Eubank Jr. defends his lightly-regarded IBO super-middleweight title against former two-weight, three-time world champion Arthur Abraham.

Quite honestly, whilst I’d normally write a preview detailing each boxer and their respective careers so far, I’m currently very distracted by the Star Sixes indoor football tournament on Sky Sports (well, Kodi box here), am now watching the England U19 team in a final and the Eubank Jr. v Abraham boxing card starts in 60 minutes, so I’d better just get to the point.

‘King’ Arthur Abraham is a tough man, going the distance in a loss to Carl Froch and even winning with a broken jaw against Edison Miranda, and is also the more experienced fighter at super-middleweight.

Eubank Jr. is a vicious hitter, though, particularly with the uppercut, and with Abraham being well past his prime and bouts more likely, in my opinion, to be stopped by ref’s in Britain than in Germany or certainly USA, a late stoppage win for junior is my fear and worth a small punt at the 13/2 price to happen in rounds 9-12 if you don’t like odds-on bets and prefer a chancier approach.

All in all, however, and with ideal pick over 7.5 total rounds way too short to back, the logical pick is for Eubank Jr. to win on points at a 4/5 best price. Abraham has been stopped once in is pro career, but that was only because his eye had swollen grotesquely shut and the ref had to stop the bout in the second round.

Recommendation: Eubank Jr. to win on points (4/5)

Hopkins v Smith Jr – Betting Preview

13 Dec

hopkins

Held at The Forum in Inglewood, California, USA, and live on Box Nation from 03:00 in the early hours of Sunday morning, Bernard Hopkins fights his final professional boxing bout when he takes on Joe Smith Jr.

The evergreen B-Hop, now 51-years-of-age, is a sure-fire future entrant to the Boxing Hall of Fame after a 27-year career that saw him make a record number of middleweight world title defences and break George Foreman’s record of being the oldest man to win a world title, before going on to win further world light-heavyweight titles aged 48 and 49.

Father time eventually caught up to Hopkins (55-7-2), of course, and his crafty style of trying to goad opponents into making mistakes and looking to counter-punch, hold and fight at a slow pace were of no use against the much younger and harder-hitting elite level boxer that is Sergey Kovalev.

Realising that he could no longer upset the odds against top-level boxers, the former self-titled executioner turned self-titled alien, a two-weight multiple-time world champion, decided to hang up his gloves after a farewell fight against Smith Jr.

New Yorker Joe Smith Jr. (22-1) is 27-years-of-age and best known in the boxing world for sensationally knocking out Andrzej Fonfara in the first round of their June 2016 clash.

Otherwise, and certainly to UK fight fans, Smith is largely an unknown with a high KO percentage of 78, which equals 18 stoppage wins from 22 victories. In his solitary career defeat back in 2010, Smith was stopped by someone called Eddie Caminero – a man who was subsequently beaten six times in a row.

In conclusion, it’s hard to really know what we’re getting with Smith Jr – was his win over Fonfara a one off, just like his own defeat turned out to be or will he give a man only three years shy of being double his age a real beating and march on towards a world title shot?

My guess is that, besides Kovalev, and you can understand Hopkins wanting to test himself against the very best after what he’s achieved post-40, Bernard doesn’t pick fights that he doesn’t think he can win and is clever at selecting opponents.

All in all, I expect Philadelphia-born Hopkins to use his defensive skills, ring savvy and counter-punching abilities to defeat a little-known opponent coming off a big win over a contender on points.

After all, B-Hop hasn’t won a bout by KO or TKO since 2004 and if his fight with Smith was to go the distance, given his standing and promotional connections within the industry, it seems unlikely that Smith would be given the verdict.

Recommendation: Hopkins on points (8/11)